The S&P 500 is rated Hold due to balanced headwinds and tailwinds through the 2026 midterm cycle. Historical patterns and Monte Carlo simulations suggest a likely correction before the 2026 election, ...

Harrison Lavelle and Leon Sit are partners at Split Ticket, an election data analysis firm. Midterm elections usually give the party out of the White House a chance to make big gains. This was the ...

Donald Trump’s greatest success in the 2024 election may pose the greatest threat to Republicans in the 2026 contest. Trump won reelection last year largely because he succeeded in turning out a large ...

The party of a sitting U.S. president almost always loses ground during the midterms. Since all 435 U.S. House seats are up every two years, we tend to assess midterms by how each party performs in ...

One year out from the midterm elections, the Democratic Party holds a sizable enthusiasm advantage as views of President Donald Trump dip further into negative territory, according to a new CNN poll ...

Donald Trump received a rebuke as Democrats swept every major contest on Nov. 4, which they hope foretells a nationwide backlash to Republican control in Washington ahead of the pivotal 2026 midterm ...